- Day Three
acus02 kwns 230525
Storm Prediction Center ac 230524
Day 2 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 am CDT Tue Oct 23 2018
Valid 241200z - 251200z
..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
only isolated thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday across the
western/central Gulf Coast, and severe weather is not forecast.
Downstream of a broad trough ejecting east/northeast across the
Southern Plains on Wednesday, a warm-advection regime will establish
from eastern Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley. This pattern
should support widespread rainfall across much of the region, but
very limited buoyancy will likely preclude thunderstorms in most
locations. The only exception is expected to exist along the
middle/Upper Texas and Louisiana coasts, where sufficient inland
destabilization should favor isolated thunderstorm activity. A lack
of more substantive buoyancy, combined with the unorganized nature
of the ejecting trough, is expected to preclude severe weather,
Elsewhere, a couple of lightning strikes may occur over western
Colorado, but the eastward departure of the primary trough should
limit cooling aloft, likely keeping any lightning too isolated for a
general thunder area.
..maximum risk by hazard...
Tornado: <2% - none
wind: <5% - none
hail: <5% - none