stormy2008's WunderBlog

The East Coast Swirl...

Mon, 7 Sep 2009 20:41:00 GMT

Low pressure off the coast of N.C. continues to get better organized. Frying Pan Shoals (41013) is currently reporting a pressure of 29.79, while station 41037 reports a pressure of 29.87... that's a fairly tight pressure gradient considering the distance between the buoys.It's clear from NexSat that there's a COC... the question is will the SW shear inhibit any further development?More shortly.
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Horrific Ike...

Fri, 12 Sep 2008 23:24:00 GMT

Hurricane Ike continues to barrel towards Galveston and Houston. I expect catastropic flooding along the island and the bay, with considerable loss of life.Winds continue to increase, and it appears Ike may be trying to get his last breath... I expect him to make landfall over Galveston as a Cat 3 - winds 115-120 mph.Again... heavy loss of life is likely.
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Hurricane Hanna?

Sat, 6 Sep 2008 01:30:00 GMT

Hanna continues to rapidly move north, and I expect she'll make a landfall between Bull Bay, SC and Wilmington, NC as a Cat 1. Hurricane. Winds 75 mph with gusts to 85 mph in an extremely small area near the center/core.Looking at buoy data, her wind field seems to be contracting. The highest wind I could find was from a ship report some 73 nm to her south, and that was 49.9 kts sustained(57 mph). Link.Hurricane Hunters are reporting a pressure of 978.7 mb at 01:09:...
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Hanna Heading North...

Wed, 3 Sep 2008 18:57:00 GMT

As expected, Hanna has begun her north-northwest move. Interestingly, most of the models have also been shifting more to the right, now with a landfall now more likely between MYR (Myrtle Beach) and MHX (Morehead City).Here's an interesting statement from the NWS in MHX:"A DISTURBING TREND IN LATEST HURRICANE MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE (AND LATEST GFS) FOR HANNA AS A MORE SLOWLY EVOLVING SYSTEM (WHICH IS BACKED UP BY CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS). THIS MAY EVENTUALLY LEAD...
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So Where's Hanna-montana heading?

Tue, 2 Sep 2008 21:32:00 GMT

T.S. Hanna has continued to defy most of the models, and even the NHC at times. While she looked quite ragged earlier today, deep convection is trying to re-organize around the center of circulation (COC).The system appears to be moving towards the 'loop' that the models advertised a few days ago... I expect another 3-6 hours of a South-East drift before Hanna begins to move more towards the North, then North-East, followed by a more North to North-West jog.I expect...
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