stillwaiting's WunderBlog

93L forms moves towards the eastern Gulf of Mexico!!!!

Fri, 26 Jun 2009 14:13:00 GMT

Well a area of disturbed area of wx I've been watching since yesterday off of the Nicarauga/Hondourus Coastline has moved NNW over the last 24hrs w/atleast 2 decent convective bursts and has been classified 93L now!!!(I was calling it pre-93L last night).It's persistance in a area of marginal shear,to me means that if/when shear drops over the next12-24hrs in the area where 93L's headed(western tip of cuba), the area has a better than 50% chance of becoming atleast ...
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TUTT rules the caribean basin and tropical atlantic June 19 2009

Fri, 19 Jun 2009 15:13:00 GMT

Well what else can be said so far for june other than the Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough has been creating unfavorable shear conditions for the most part in the atomosphere's upper levels,along w/a deep layered ridge to the north and west of it shutting down the GOM!!!,However this position is not uncommon for june climatologically speaking,as the axis moves east from june thru july,and lifts a bit to the NE durning august.There is also a MJO pulse moving into t...
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Atlantic Hurricane season outlook 2009

Tue, 2 Jun 2009 15:23:00 GMT

Welcome to Atlantic hurricane season 2009!!!,After mother nature's pre-season TD and another invest in the GOM, we've had a bit of a lull in which current conditions are actually normal w/the Subtropical jet stream making any development in the western carib. not possible,climatology and a negative MJO pulse in the area also have made development chances extremely slim.But over the next week and a half things will start changing as first sheer should be relaxing as ...
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Is the first invest of the 2009 hurricane season forming?????

Sun, 3 May 2009 05:18:00 GMT

It now appears that there is a area of disturbed weather just offshore of the coasta rican pacific coast,If this area persists the first "invest" of the 2009 hurricane season may quite possibly be forming,however this area is drifting North and w/probably move onshore before development in the pacific,now should this area survive and re-emerge into the SW carib.,It could be our GFS "ghost storm" that was predicted for the upcoming time period.I will update if necces...
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new invest east of cozumel???

Sun, 12 Oct 2008 17:30:00 GMT

0ct.12 2008 14:00 ... ..Looking at the visable sat loop it now appears that a surface low pressure center is trying to form ESE of cozumel,MX.What ever weather forms should move ashore by tonight not giving it enough time to get any stronger than a TD,For NOW...the area may meander around the general yucatan area and may actually move back SE remerging and forming into what some of the models have been predicting to form in about 96-120hrs in the western carib.........
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