Ok, a break from the election stuff. The data on the storm is coming together and it appears the center will stay off the coast. This means most in Central and S MD should not see the strongest effects from the nor'easter, but it also means we could see some snow from this since the northerly winds will now be closer to the I-95 corridor. Here's how I see it:
TIMING: The wind and rain will pick up around noon Wednesday and progress as the day leads into evening. The wind and precip will end later Thursday morning.
SNOW: There should be colder air moving in from the north due to the position of the low. Any wobble in that position will change this forecast. But I figure those around Baltimore could see about 2 or so inches of snow while those in S MD could see an inch. The snow will be a wet snow accumulating mainly on grassy areas. Roadways will remain wet and slushy. A rain / snow mixture will start around 4:00pm or so Wednesday, but as the sun sets the rain will turn to all snow.
Any shift to the west or east will impact the amount of snow we receive but keep in mind that the ground is still above freezing and the daytime temps for Thursday will be in the 40s. Any snow that falls will not last long, but should look nice Unfortunately the change over to snow will be happening around the afternoon rush hour.
If there are any major changes to my forecast I will have another update, but as of now I am confident in this. Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather updates and information.