Don’t Put On Your Stupid Hat

By: Bryan Norcross, 8:58 PM GMT on February 13, 2014

Another snowstorm, another fiasco, or three. Tens of thousands of North Carolinians are stuck on highways in Charlotte and Raleigh as another state can’t manage a snowstorm. And a tempest erupts in New York City as kids are sent to school despite a forecast of 8 to 12 inches of snow.

Meanwhile in Georgia, Governor Nathan Deal and Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed get high marks for quickly learning the lessons of the debacle two weeks ago and doing things ri...

Updated: 2:01 AM GMT on February 14, 2014

Another Unexpected Disaster That Was Well Forecast

By: Bryan Norcross, 9:06 PM GMT on January 29, 2014

Thousands of people, including school children, are still not home in Metro Atlanta after leaving the work yesterday afternoon. They slept in schools, in their cars, and up and down the aisles of Home Depots and 24-hour drug stores. Another horrendous outcome of the dysfunctional system that that we use in this country to connect the weather forecasters, the emergency decision-makers, and the public.

My meteorologist friends are saying things like, ...

Blizzard Hurricane

Updated: 10:49 PM GMT on January 29, 2014

A Year After Sandy - What Did We Learn?

By: Bryan Norcross, 11:19 AM GMT on October 23, 2013

A year ago today my post was called “Sandy and the Fork in the Road”. The computer models hadn’t settled in yet, but we were getting nervous. One of those forks was really bad, and it was the one forecast by the Euro, the computer model that had been the most accurate for the past few years. We understood well that a storm anything like the one that the model was portraying would be a disaster of huge proportions.

Neither part of the Sandy scen...


Karen's Conflicting Signals

By: Bryan Norcross, 2:54 AM GMT on October 04, 2013

Tropical Storm Karen is still sending out conflicting signals. The storm looks terrible on the satellite... it's clearly being pulled apart by moderately unfavorable upper-level winds. But, the Hurricane Hunters found a reasonable healthy circulation with decently low pressure. This is telling us that the atmospheric environment is marginal, but if it became a little more favorable the storm would likely strengthen.

IF (big if) that's going to happen, it...


Close to Being Tropical Storm Karen

By: Bryan Norcross, 1:35 AM GMT on October 03, 2013

Time to pay attention to what's going on in the Caribbean. The system near the Yucatan just needs a bit more organization to be named Tropical Storm Karen, and it's moving toward the Gulf of Mexico. It's not clear what the final outcome is going to be. There are conflicting signals.

On one hand, the system is clearly intensifying in a favorable upper-air environment and over extremely warm water. This favorable situation will likely continue for the next ...


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About bnorcross

This is the official blog for Bryan Norcross, Hurricane Specialist at The Weather Channel.

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