BS Weather

The rest of February

Sun, 12 Feb 2012 20:18:00 GMT

Taking a look at the rest of this month (keep in mind, this is based on computer models that have been wildly inaccurate so far this winter)...what's in store for the next 2 weeks:1) The current cold air mass sticks around long enough for us to get in one decent snow tomorrow - 1-3" in most spots with isolated areas of 3-5". The most recent model runs are showing a little more moisture available so it might end up more like 2-4" for most.2) After Monday's snow the t...
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The long-awaited, oft-misforecasted return, of WINTER!

Wed, 8 Feb 2012 23:51:00 GMT

Well, what do you know...those GFS model runs from a couple weeks back that forecasted a major arctic outbreak into the CONUS around February 3-6th - might have been right after all (if off by a week anyway).The next week will see a major shift to cold and stormy that has been hard to find all winter long this year. Temps in the midwest will dip from the 30s, 40s and 50s into the 10s and 20s, with the possibility of an accumulating snow/ice event here in the STL met...
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OK, So Maybe It IS Time To Call It

Thu, 2 Feb 2012 06:57:00 GMT

GFS no longer forecasts any kind of extended cold air outbreak over the northern half of the US for the next couple weeks.With that said, clearly GFS has been utterly useless in making predictions any further out than 5-6 days all winter long.Ugh, this winter has been one of tough forecasting, imminent pattern changes followed by reversals, and stagnation. If we don't get a decent cold air outbreak (it was 65 today in Illinois where I live) in the next 2 weeks then ...
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Maybe not so cold after all

Tue, 24 Jan 2012 07:18:00 GMT

LinkGFS is still calling for a hit of arctic air to punch into the midwest, although the latest run has it coming in a couple days later and going slightly more east and to a lesser extent to the south than previous runs in the last week. While this will bring some extremely cold air into the midwest for a couple days, it appears it won't stick around long, as temperatures appear to rebound back to normal or slightly above normal by the 7th. We just can't seem to br...
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First week of Febbbbbrrrrrr

Thu, 19 Jan 2012 15:37:00 GMT

LinkStarting to see more agreement with the newer GFS models for a major arctic outbreak in the midwest the first week of February. This morning's run has the cold punching even further south than before, with temperatures Feb 2nd-3rd here in Illinois dipping into the single digits. We'll see how the models trend the next week or so.
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