WxGeekVA's WunderBlog

Incredible Issue Isaac? Time will tell...

Sat, 18 Aug 2012 21:49:00 GMT

Current Analysis:As Gordon races to the northeast for a landfall at the Azores, and Helene weakens over Mexico, our next troublemaker appears on the scene. Invest 94L, a disturbance located in the MDR just west of the Cape Verde islands is showing signs of organization. The National Hurricane Center is currently giving 94L a 50% chance of development in the next 48 hours. I would put those odds higher, at around 80% given the recent strides that it has made in organ...
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2 Minute Tropics #1

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 19:15:00 GMT

YouTube Channel: dantheweatherguy
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Derecho Round 2? Oh boy...

Mon, 23 Jul 2012 17:38:00 GMT

First thing first... Must stay calm...I'm getting concerned about a potential repeat of the derecho event of June 29th. Many of the same factors are going to be in place including temps into the 90s to almost 100, dew points near 70 or more, and CAPE above 3000 J/kg. There is also going to be another vort-max rotating around an upper trough which will provide the lifting mechanism for those storms. Below is an image of precip at hour 30 and 33. Notice the speed at w...
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96L: To Be, or Not To Be?

Sat, 23 Jun 2012 14:22:00 GMT

Figure 1: Invest 96L at 10AM 6/23/12Invest 96L was tagged early yesterday morning in the Gulf of Mexico by the National Hurricane Center. The NHC has given 96L a 90% chance of development into a tropical depression or a tropical storm, which would be named Debby if it develops.96L is in a decent environment for strengthening. Water temperatures are over 28C which is above what is usually needed for a storm to form. Wind shear, however, is not as conducive for develo...
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