2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #47

By: NCHurricane2009, 2:13 AM GMT on July 28, 2014

...SUNDAY JULY 27 2014 10:15 PM EDT...
Their is strong computer model support for tropical cyclogensis over the next few days from the tropical wave currently west of the Cape Verde Islands. Visible satellite imagery suggested a weak circulation near 30W-10N earlier this afternoon on the east side of the tropical wave...with showers and thunderstorms increasing over and west of this circulation as we have progressed into the evening. Therefore I have upgraded t...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #46A (Special Update)

By: NCHurricane2009, 6:20 PM GMT on July 27, 2014

...SUNDAY JULY 27 2014 2:20 PM EDT...
The tropical wave west of the Cape Verde Islands is producing a weak circulation southwest of the islands at a location near 30W-10N as the 1200Z visible satellite image from Meteosat-9 below shows. The most recent runs of the CMC...GFS...and NAVGEM computer models forecast development from this feature over the next few days. I will be upgrading the tropical wave to a special feature with a forecast during my next full blo...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #46

By: NCHurricane2009, 3:35 AM GMT on July 27, 2014

...SATURDAY JULY 26 2014 11:36 PM EDT...
The environment in the eastern tropical Atlantic will remain generally favorable for tropical development for the next few days with tropical upper ridging in the region expected to persist. However these favorable conditions are more on the marginal side with dry Saharan air intrusions in the area. Their are currently two tropical waves in the eastern tropical Atlantic. The first is west of the Cape Verde Islands which ...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #45

By: NCHurricane2009, 11:52 PM GMT on July 25, 2014

...FRIDAY JULY 25 2014 7:55 PM EDT...
The environment in the eastern tropical Atlantic will remain generally favorable for tropical development for the next few days with tropical upper ridging in the region expected to persist. However these favorable conditions are more on the marginal side with a decrease in moisture in this region compared to 48 hours ago. The vigorous tropical wave previously over southwestern Mali is now nearing the west Africa coast and ...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #44

By: NCHurricane2009, 12:24 AM GMT on July 25, 2014

...THURSDAY JULY 24 2014 8:25 PM EDT...
The remnant tropical wave of tropical depression two has entered the eastern Caribbean and is producing a shower and thunderstorm cluster south of Puerto Rico enhanced by split flow upper divergence between westerlies at the base of a cut-off upper trough to the northeast and easterlies on the south side of a Bahamas-to-eastern Caribbean upper ridge. Because the tropical wave has slowed its forward pace...it has about ano...

Updated: 12:25 AM GMT on July 25, 2014

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