2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #129A (Special Update)

By: NCHurricane2009, 2:15 AM GMT on November 01, 2014

...FRIDAY OCTOBER 31 2014 10:20 PM EDT...
Potential for a tropical disturbance east of the Bahamas in the timeframe that is currently 5 days away remains as outlined in discussion #129. I will be taking a short vacation that will be limiting my internet access and therefore do not plan on releasing any full blog updates until Monday night. In the meantime visit www.nhc.noaa.gov or www.wunderground.com/tropical for up to the minute latest information on the Atla...

Updated: 2:22 AM GMT on November 01, 2014

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #129

By: NCHurricane2009, 4:50 AM GMT on October 31, 2014

...FRIDAY OCTOBER 31 2014 12:52 AM EDT...
Atlantic tropics are currently quiet. However over the next few days the upper trough associated with the eastern North America 989 mb frontal cyclone will produce a second frontal cyclone offshore of the United States. This second frontal cyclone will leave behind a frontal segment east of the Bahamas that has the potential to evolve into a tropical disturbance by day 6 in favorable upper winds between a southern fract...

Updated: 4:51 AM GMT on October 31, 2014

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #128

By: NCHurricane2009, 4:44 AM GMT on October 30, 2014

...THURSDAY OCTOBER 30 2014 12:45 AM EDT...
The surface low of tropical disturbance Invest 95-L northeast of the Lesser Antilles is now moving more west and less north. On this track...this system is now moving away from lower shear associated with the central tropical Atlantic upper ridge (marked by blue zig-zag line at the bottom-center of the atmospheric features chart below) and moving toward unfavorable higher shear associated with the eastern Caribbean up...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #127

By: NCHurricane2009, 3:38 AM GMT on October 29, 2014

...TUESDAY OCTOBER 28 2014 11:40 PM EDT...
The remnant low of Hanna has in fact re-generated northward into the western Caribbean waters just offshore of Honduras within the past 24 hours. However the circulation is approaching landfall in Belize. Land interaction after landfall and hostile wind shear from the upper trough associated with the 995 mb frontal cyclone moving into eastern North America will finally bring an end to this system...but not before it pr...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #126

By: NCHurricane2009, 3:01 AM GMT on October 28, 2014

...MONDAY OCTOBER 27 2014 11:01 PM EDT...
Tropical Storm Hanna over eastern Nicargua and eastern Honduras was downgraded to a tropical depression at the 8 PM EDT National Hurricane Center advisory and now has been downgraded to a remnant low as of the 11 PM EDT advisory. Because the small circulation does not extend into the eastern Pacific...the southern half has lost shower and thunderstorm activity which has reduced the rainfall risk in northeastern Nicaragu...

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