MAweatherboy1's Blog
Alberto Spinning Down, 92E Should Be Watched
Posted by: MAweatherboy1, 9:16 PM GMT on May 20, 2012 +1
Tropical storm Alberto is currently meandering off the Southeast US coast. He is located about 105 miles southeast of Savannah, Georgia. The current intensity is estimated at 45mph by the National Hurricane Center with a pressure of 1006mb. The pressure has steadily risen throughout the day, indicating Alberto is weakening as it battles dry air to its south and some shear.


Tiny Alberto is seen battling a lot of dry air to its south and east

All Tropical Storm Watches have been discontinued as it appears Alberto will remain far enough offshore to not provide tropical storm force conditions to South Carolina. The wind field of Alberto is tiny, with tropical storm force winds barely extending 50 miles from the center. Under weak steering currents, Alberto has drifted southwest over the past day and is now turning more to the south. It should begin a move to the northeast soon, which will cause it to accelerate and become extratropical if it has not already dissipated by that time. After a convective burst near the center earlier today, Alberto once again seems to have weakening convection, leading me to believe it will dissipate in 24 hours or so.


Alberto is seen nearly void of deep convection

An air force recon mission earlier today found some winds of near 60mph but due to possible contaminations as well as the storm's worsened satellite presentation the intensity was kept at 45mph.

92E Organizes In The East Pac

Meanwhile, in the East Pacific, long lived invest 92E appears to finally be organizing. The National Hurricane Center gives it a 60% chance of developing within the next 48 hours as it drifts slowly to the northwest. Some models intensify 92E into a hurricane and bring it close to the Mexican coastline. My intenisty forecast is less agressive, as I expect a peak of around 60-65mph. I do think that it is likely 92E will at least track close to Mexico, so people there should be on guard. I will have more updates on 92E later this week as it continues to develop.


92E has quite a bit of deep convection and an improving satellite signature.

Looking long range, it appears we will be entering a quiet spell in the tropics for the next week or two, but as always, storms can spin up out of nowhere so we should remain vigilant.

Thank you as always for reading, and have a great week!
Updated: 9:17 PM GMT on May 20, 2012   Permalink | A A A
View Full Blog Entry — View Comments (2)
Aletta No Threat To Land; Bud Likely Within Days
Posted by: MAweatherboy1, 9:28 PM GMT on May 15, 2012 +3
Today, May 15, marks the first day of the 2012 Eastern North Pacifc Hurricane Season. For my thoughts on the season as a whole you can look at my last blog entry. Yesterday saw the formation of TD One E, a day ahead of the start of the season. The depression strengthened some and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Aletta early on May 15 (UTC) meaning it was not named in the preseason. According to the National Hurricane Center Aletta is located about 810 miles south...
Updated: 9:29 PM GMT on May 15, 2012   Permalink | A A A
View Full Blog Entry — View Comments (6)
East Pacifc Hurricane Season Preview
Posted by: MAweatherboy1, 11:08 PM GMT on May 02, 2012 +2
As we all know, it's getting to be that time of year... In less than a month we will begin the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season! However we are less than 2 weeks away from the start of the 2012 East Pacific Hurricane Season. The main factor that will drive the Atlantic Season this year will also be the driving force in the East Pacifc, and that is of course the ongoing transition from La Nina conditions into neutral conditions and likely heading for at least weak El...
  Permalink | A A A
View Full Blog Entry — View Comments (2)
Thoughts on the CSU Hurricane Season Forecast
Posted by: MAweatherboy1, 9:02 PM GMT on April 04, 2012 +4
As you probably know, the annual April hurricane season prediction was released by Colorado State University (CSU) today. Their forecast numbers for the season are:*10 named storms*4 hurricanes*2 major hurricanesClearly these numbers come as a major disappointment for many of us storm lovers. However, after looking through CSU's forecast, I've found a few rays of hope that could make this season more active than they have indicated.*First and probably most importa...
Updated: 9:46 PM GMT on April 04, 2012   Permalink | A A A
View Full Blog Entry — View Comments (12)
Tropical Storm Pakhar Threatens Vietnam
Posted by: MAweatherboy1, 7:50 PM GMT on March 29, 2012 +3
After a long quiet stretch, the tropics have finally turned active, at least in the West Pacific, as the basin now has its first named storm of the year, Pakhar. Pakhar is currently crawling west-northwestward in the South China Sea with an intenisty estimated at 45 knots by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). This image highlights Pakhar's excellent banding features, and possibly a forming eye.Pakhar's slow movement prevents an obvious problems for countries...
Updated: 8:32 PM GMT on March 29, 2012   Permalink | A A A
View Full Blog Entry — View Comments (7)

« View Older Entries

About MAweatherboy1
I am an aspiring meteorologist who enjoys tracking all kinds of weather from my home in Massachusetts

Contact This Author
Local Weather
Overcast
Wrentham, Massachusetts
57 °F
Overcast
Detailed Conditions & Forecast
Recent Photos
Cyclone Monica
MAweatherboy1's Wunder Photos
Previous Entries for 2012
Recommended Links