Gert brushing Bermuda; a new all-time 1-day rainfall record for NYC

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:30 PM GMT on August 15, 2011

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Tropical Storm Gert, the 7th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, is here. Gert's formation on August 14 marks the 4th earliest date for the season's 7th storm. Only 2005, 1995, and 1936 have had an earlier formation of the season's 7th storm. Gert will pass very close to Bermuda today, but thus far the island has had no wind or rain from Gert, with top winds at the Bermuda Airport of just 9 mph as of 10 am EDT. Radar out of Bermuda shows the rains from Gert are staying just offshore, moving northward, parallel to the island. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft is in the storm, and has found that Gert has not changed much in intensity since last night. Top surface winds seen by their SFMR instrument this morning as of 10am EDT were 48 mph, though higher winds of 58 mph that may be erroneous due to rain interference were measured. It currently appears that Gert's northerly motion will keep virtually all of the storm's rains just offshore from from Bermuda. Gert should not trouble any land areas after moving past Bermuda.


Figure 1. Morning radar image of Gert from the Bermuda radar .

Elsewhere in the tropics
The disturbance we've been tracking over the past few days in the open Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, Invest 93L, has regenerated a modest amount of heavy thunderstorms and will bring heavy rain showers and gusty winds to the Lesser Antilles today and Tuesday as it moves westwards through the islands at 15 - 20 mph. Dry air surrounds 93L, and is interfering with development. However, the disturbance is steadily moistening its environment and is under low wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, so could begin to organize over the next few days as it tracks across the Caribbean. The latest 06Z run of the NOGAPS model is showing weak development of 93L once it reaches the western Caribbean, with a track over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Stay tuned.


Figure 2. Radar-estimated rainfall for the past 2 days from the Long Island, NY radar.

New York City sets an all-time 1-day rainfall record
A long series of "training" thunderstorms that each moved along the same path deluged the New York City and Newark areas yesterday, smashing an all-time 1-day rainfall record at New York City's JFK Airport, which recorded 7.80 inches of rain. It was the most rain at JFK since record keeping began in 1948. The previous record was a 6.3" deluge on June 30, 1984. New York City's official measuring site, Central Park, got 5.81" yesterday, the fifth wettest day on record there. The 6.40" that fell on Newark, NJ yesterday was that city's 2nd heaviest 1-day rainfall in history, next to the 6.73" that fell on November 3, 1977.

Jeff Masters

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2638. hurricanehunter27
12:41 AM GMT on August 17, 2011
Im tearing up after watching this. One of the better news reports. Link
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3813
2637. benheb
8:27 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
The rainfall in New York over the weekend was incredible - here is more on it, with some staggering stats: Link
Member Since: July 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
2636. Jedkins01
6:31 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
PRC025-035-057-063-069-077-085-103-109-123-129-15 1-161845-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.SV.W.0009.110816T1823Z-110816T1845Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
223 PM AST TUE AUG 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CAGUAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CAGUAS...
CAYEY MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CAYEY...
GUAYAMA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
GURABO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GURABO...
HUMACAO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PUNTA SANTIAGO...HUMACAO...
JUNCOS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JUNCOS...
LAS PIEDRAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LAS PIEDRAS...
NAGUABO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NAGUABO...
PATILLAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SALINAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN LORENZO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SAN LORENZO...
YABUCOA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL 245 PM AST

* AT 217 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM ANTON RUIZ TO 7 MILES EAST OF CAYEY TO 6 MILES
SOUTH OF CAYEY...MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LA
FERMINA...CELADA AND BAIROA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 1825 6588 1829 6578 1822 6566 1817 6569
1818 6572 1815 6573 1815 6578 1812 6577
1815 6578 1809 6599 1798 6621 1813 6622
1815 6610 1821 6611 1823 6608 1831 6606
1831 6597
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 099DEG 28KT 1818 6583 1810 6608
1803 6622

$$

ROSA




Strong squalls in Puerto Rico
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6867
2635. AWXWatcher
5:09 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting ncstorm:


so thats why they have the gates on those exits??


Yup!
Member Since: August 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9
2634. AWXWatcher
5:07 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting atmoaggie:
? 1.5 M people in the Hampton Roads area cannot all take a single 4-lane (2 lane each way) interstate...
I had the exact opposite opinion of the area's evac capabilities when I lived there.

(Unless they have expanded that one and added in at least 2 more roads since I was last there, 5 years ago.)


The roadblocks are designed to allow ALL lanes to flow in the same direction
Member Since: August 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9
2633. serialteg
4:40 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
strong gusty winds in PR's south shore, squalls
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 1975
2632. BahaHurican
3:22 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting scott39:
I wish they would intergrate some kind of program in school for kids( around the world) every season about Hurricane awareness and prepareness. Now that would be good money put to use.
Knowledge is power. There is a certain amount of hurricane teaching incorporated into primary social studies curriculum here, but I think more general awareness can be raised.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20734
2631. BahaHurican
3:17 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting Abacosurf:

When Floyd came through Abaco in 99 Great Guana cay had only 42 people of the 150 residents on the island.

We had a list of everyone who stayed and where they were.

I was one of 4 Americans who stayed due to vested interests and because I wanted to see what a real hurricane was like.

We stayed above the cemetary in a house built half into the lime rock about 40 feet above sea level.

I would do it again in a heartbeat....




These little 40 ft outcrops are what have been saving Bahamian lives for hundreds of years. The list thing u mentioned is akin to the "check on family" that Family Island communities have done for a very long time. In the cities, it's a little different, a bit more difficult, to do this.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20734
2630. wxmobilejim
3:08 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting Grothar:



Here it is.

Just click on what you want

Link

thanks for the link. The info is great
Member Since: May 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 231
2629. tropicfreak
2:50 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting atmoaggie:
? 1.5 M people in the Hampton Roads area cannot all take a single 4-lane (2 lane each way) interstate...
I had the exact opposite opinion of the area's evac capabilities when I lived there.

(Unless they have expanded that one and added in at least 2 more roads since I was last there, 5 years ago.)


They can also take US 60, which runs alongside 64 from the beach through Richmond.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6814
2627. barotropic
2:43 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting scott39:
I think the biggest problem with most people(outside of WU bloggers) is that they dont have a clue that 10 to 14 days from now a Major Hurricane MAYBE in thier backyard. I know this is no excuse, but 99% of people outside "our world" never think it will never happen to them. Especially if they have never been through one before.Procrastination, poor planning and not being educated raises its ugly head EVERY TIME!


Member Since: August 22, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 652
2626. FtMyersgal
2:42 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting Grothar:
Here is a link for the Florida Evacuation maps. I think it is a good idea for people living in different areas to post the links on here. It could come in handy some day. Just click on your County, and the the details show up

Link

That is an excellent idea Grothar.
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1216
2625. E46Pilot
2:38 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting LADobeLady:


We all have to die from something, I'd rather it be from the plastic, than dehydration. I cannot count on my government to save me. I have to have personal responsibility for me and my family. That is a lesson everyone needs to learn and live by.


What about filling up the bathtubs? That's like pretty much free.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 288
2624. AussieStorm
2:38 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting scott39:
I wish they would intergrate some kind of program in school for kids( around the world) every season about Hurricane awareness and prepareness. Now that would be good money put to use.

At my son's school they have weather info during lunch 2-3 times a week.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15749
2623. Some1Has2BtheRookie
2:37 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting MahFL:


Where do you store 250 gallons of water, and how much did it cost to buy ?



Never overlook the obvious. Should you know that you are about to be hit by a hurricane you can easily sterilize your bathtubs using bleach a few hours ahead of the storm. Fill your bathtubs with water. You can pre-purchase a sheet of plywood to cut down to fit over the tub. Cheap, no lugging in water over a few weeks and should last you a good while. Remember, this water is for drinking and cooking only. Don't be using it to give the dog a bath. LOL
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4728
2622. Neapolitan
2:36 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
NEW BLOG ENTRY
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13280
2621. K8eCane
2:35 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting MyrtleCanes:


shocking, I know I live in NMB. LOL

the gov is so inept in this state its pretty much a joke, from the local levels and up....



Myrtlecanes you arent far from me at all...Im in Wilmington
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3041
2620. weathermanwannabe
2:35 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Another point on the evacuation issue is to consider the vulnerable in your own immediate family. Some of the "tough" folks might laugh at an incoming storm and decide to ride it out, even with evacuation orders, but don't make that decision for your children or elderly and put their lives at risk.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 8278
2619. LADobeLady
2:35 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting E46Pilot:


Yeah but imagine all of the plastic chemicals leaching into the water from the bottles.


We all have to die from something, I'd rather it be from the plastic, than dehydration. I cannot count on my government to save me. I have to have personal responsibility for me and my family. That is a lesson everyone needs to learn and live by.
Member Since: July 29, 2005 Posts: 21 Comments: 794
2618. Grothar
2:34 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting NASA101:
06 HWRF brings 93L to 140 knots winds at 900mb! Ridiculous given what it looks like right now...




This was Wilma just a few days before you know what. Everyone thought she would dissipate.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23727
2617. atmoaggie
2:33 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting tropicfreak:
VA is well prepared for any storm to hit. On I-64 east of Richmond, they have gates on on ramps blocking anyone who's trying to go east on 64, and I also do believe they would do contraflow. I credit VDEM for being this prepared, they learned their lesson during Isabel.
? 1.5 M people in the Hampton Roads area cannot all take a single 4-lane (2 lane each way) interstate...
I had the exact opposite opinion of the area's evac capabilities when I lived there.

(Unless they have expanded that one and added in at least 2 more roads since I was last there, 5 years ago.)
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
2616. Stormchaser2007
2:33 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
The MJO is here to stay for 2-3 weeks

Week 1

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15718
2615. E46Pilot
2:32 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting LADobeLady:


Water not exposed to light will last years, the gallons come in thick cardboard cases. Worst case in a few years I'll water my garden with them and refill the jugs.


Yeah but imagine all of the plastic chemicals leaching into the water from the bottles.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 288
2614. Buhdog
2:31 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting P451:
It would be a good time to reconnect with family in safe regions within a reasonable reach.

That's is what family is for anyways...even if today's American society seems to balk at such an idea as if it's an intrusion.

A tank or two of gas and go hole up with relatives.

Those are plans that a quick phone call can set up right now.

"Hey, if we get a bad hurricane hitting us, can we come stay with you guys for a couple of weeks? We don't have the money for hotels for three weeks."

I mean, if that's considered an imposition, that's ridiculous.

I was about to say, for a lot of people here [The Bahamas] the "evacuation plan" is to move from their house near the sea to a family member's house further inland. There's no way to get 250,000 people off the island in the 3 or fewer days before a hurricane hits, even if people could afford it, and that's true of each of our islands with smaller population to a certain extent. Now, that doesn't mean you go sponge off your family for two weeks; you have to carry your storm supplies including bedding etc, for the time you will be there. But there has to be a way for people to help each other more during storms. It was something I wondered about during Katrina in NOLA. There were some people who couldn't afford to evacuate, yes. But I think some could have left with neighbours, family and didn't. I have a hard time thinking Americans are so disconnected from others around them that there is NO one they can turn to in a storm.

Not that we don't have storm shelters too. People use them, because sometimes ALL your family lives in at risk areas [entirely possible when many island communities are coastal ones with serious vulnerabilities to surge and wave action]. But aren't shelters community-run?


my wife built an online non profit site 5 years ago with these exact same principals...its a buddy system, but i wont post it and get banned.
Member Since: July 30, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 958
2613. Grothar
2:30 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting wxmobilejim:

Do you know where I can find an AL evac. route map?



Here it is.

Just click on what you want

Link
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23727
2612. Nolehead
2:30 PM GMT on August 16, 2011

MahFL 1:42 PM GMT on August 16, 2011

+0













Quoting Nolehead:
The GFS animated Link: Something of interest.

that's not good at all...would be a lot of oil being slung around the al/fl beaches..


The oil is mostly on the seabed, 1000's of feet below the surface.


that's where you are mistaken, I have been working this spill since last May and the things I have seen and heard would blow the publics mind. But hey tourism is hot, nothing to see here, then why are both mayors upset about a closed door meeting in NOLA regading clean up after a storm 2 to 3 years from now...not about this year?? But yes back to the oil, it's there...and a lot of it. time will tell the truth..
Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1923
2611. scott39
2:29 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting BahaHurican:
Sad, but true. I'm constantly amazed at the kinds of things people say - and believe - when a storm is approaching. And this from relatively "storm-savvy" Bahamians...
I wish they would intergrate some kind of program in school for kids( around the world) every season about Hurricane awareness and prepareness. Now that would be good money put to use.
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6706
2610. LADobeLady
2:29 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting MahFL:


Well I don't have a spare bedroom, or a boat :(.



You can use sanitized 2 liter pop bottles, wash thoroughly in hot water with some non scented bleach. Fill the bottles and store them under beds, in totes that won't let light through. If you don't drink 2 liter pop, ask friends and family that do, to save the bottles for you. Do NOT count on government to take care of you. It can be days or weeks before someone shows up.
Member Since: July 29, 2005 Posts: 21 Comments: 794
2608. MyrtleCanes
2:29 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting robert88:


I was sitting for hours in that mess when i lived in Myrtle Beach. Hugo was no fun as well. At least Myrtle has more ways to get out other than 501 now.


not really, pretty much the same as always. 17, 9, 501. the only difference is 22, but it bottlenecks with 501 in Aynor, so thats not much help. I have lived here long enough that I can back road it out of here if nessasary
Member Since: May 13, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 103
2607. Abacosurf
2:28 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting BahaHurican:
I actually like this approach. If pple in a mandatory evac area insist on staying, it would help masses afterwards for local authorities to know they are/were there. As someone wrote rather harshly a couple years back [forget during which storm, now], don't forget to write your ssn on your torso so your body can be ID'd among the rubble of the storm... We certainly don't have anything that organized here...


When Floyd came through Abaco in 99 Great Guana cay had only 42 people of the 150 residents on the island.

We had a list of everyone who stayed and where they were.

I was one of 4 Americans who stayed due to vested interests and because I wanted to see what a real hurricane was like.

We stayed above the cemetary in a house built half into the lime rock about 40 feet above sea level.

I would do it again in a heartbeat....




Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 250
2606. BahaHurican
2:27 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Anyway, I gotta run. On my way out, I just want to say, these runs with the huge storm coming up over the Bahamas are really starting to get old, now.... could we not be having that so much today????


l8r
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20734
2605. tropicfreak
2:26 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting ncstorm:


so thats why they have the gates on those exits??


Correct you are!

Basically, when NC gets affected, we get affected because of the way the coast bends and straightens out on the OBX, VA Beach gets some nasty weather though not as bad as NC does, still something to be reckoned with.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6814
2604. LADobeLady
2:25 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting MahFL:
Where do you store 100 gallons of gas ?


In an outside, vented shed away from my house, in gas cans. Stabil is used to keep the gas right and it is rotated out and replaced.
Member Since: July 29, 2005 Posts: 21 Comments: 794
2602. weathermanwannabe
2:25 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Best thing that all the WU Bloggers can do (other than donate time or money after a storm to help victims)is to make sure that the give all of your friends and family a friendly call to give them a heads up if it looks like a storm may be threatening them so they can get check their disaster plan.....However, you cannot cry wolf on every blob or model run 10 days out because they won't take you seriously when 99% of those fizzle out or never materialize for them....... :)
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 8278
2601. BahaHurican
2:22 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting scott39:
I think the biggest problem with most people(outside of WU bloggers) is that they dont have a clue that 10 to 14 days from now a Major Hurricane MAYBE in thier backyard. I know this is no excuse, but 99% of people outside "our world" never think it will never happen to them. Especially if they have never been through one before.Procrastination, poor planning and not being educated raises its ugly head EVERY TIME!
Sad, but true. I'm constantly amazed at the kinds of things people say - and believe - when a storm is approaching. And this from relatively "storm-savvy" Bahamians...
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20734
2600. LPStormspotter
2:22 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting MahFL:


There will always be "stupid" or unlucky people. I believe some decided to leave in the dark after the water came up, in some cases too late.


Agree!
Member Since: July 17, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 379
2599. ncstorm
2:22 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting tropicfreak:
VA is well prepared for any storm to hit. On I-64 east of Richmond, they have gates on on ramps blocking anyone who's trying to go east on 64, and I also do believe they would do contraflow. I credit VDEM for being this prepared, they learned their lesson during Isabel.


so thats why they have the gates on those exits??
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13460
2598. MahFL
2:20 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting divdog:
In my boat


Well I don't have a spare bedroom, or a boat :(.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2908
2597. tropicfreak
2:20 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
VA is well prepared for any storm to hit. On I-64 east of Richmond, they have gates on on ramps blocking anyone who's trying to go east on 64, and I also do believe they would do contraflow. I credit VDEM for being this prepared, they learned their lesson during Isabel.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6814
2596. alvarig1263
2:20 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/06zgfstr opical850mbVortSLPGFSLoop.html

Looks like GFS and other models have "Katrina" like storm developing in the Western Atlantic and then moving towards FL and up to Louisiana. Doesn't look good but it's still 10-15 days out....
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744
2595. ProgressivePulse
2:20 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
NAO positive for 4 days now which favors ridging on the east coast. May take some time for the Atmosphere to respond especially after the record 68 day negative NAO.

16Aug2011 0.17377E+00
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
2594. islander101010
2:19 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Upward motion is starting to return in the Atlantic. ITCZ has lifted north and increased in intensity.

Should help our African wave deal with dry air.

heard dry air over and over again what it is now the waters are getting warmer
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4018
2593. scott39
2:19 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting AussieStorm:

And once it does happen, they blame everyone else except themselves.
Of course... It is the responsibilty of the parent who is taking care of kids, the elderly or the disabled to be ready. Some People have become too dependent on other people telling them what to do and how to do it.
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6706
2592. Squid28
2:19 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting USAFwxguy:


Doesn't all that stored bottle water have a shelf life?


There are various products you can buy on the market that area collapasible bladders which you can store large quantities of water in. Water bobs & Aqua Safes for bathtubs (48 gal, one time use), Aqua Tanks II up to (350 ga, can be reused) that you can set up elsewhere. They are not cheap, but the beauty of them is they do not take up much space and you can fill them up with fresh water right before the storm
Member Since: May 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 343
2591. divdog
2:18 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting MahFL:
Where do you store 100 gallons of gas ?
In my boat
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 755
2590. BahaHurican
2:18 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting presslord:


well...the last one we had Floyd...and it was a nightmare...
Geez, and they haven't made any improvements since then???? I keep thinking SC has a lot of coastal islands which are prone to surge.

Will do some reading up on this, now, because my interest has been piqued...

Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20734
2589. MahFL
2:17 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting wayfaringstranger:
Has anyone heard from StormW in awhile?


He was banned.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2908
2588. Stormchaser2007
2:16 PM GMT on August 16, 2011
Quoting ProgressivePulse:



That would be an east coast strike with the ridging to the North.


Indeed. Trough lifting out and a bridging high to the north.

Pretty impressive model consensus for development.

06Z GFS track
Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15718

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.