A Freezing Halloween

By: Buckey2745, 8:06 PM GMT on October 23, 2014

It's still 8 days out, but there is a possibility of a trough building in across the area near Halloween that could be our first truly "cold" snap of the season. While I know some places around Central Ohio have hit the freezing mark, many of us have not, including myself. I haven't seen a temp lower than 37° so far this season. And while we should see a warm up this weekend in to next week, it's just building up for our next big cold shot.

Surprisin...

LiveBlog: The Cutoff Low

By: Buckey2745, 1:15 PM GMT on October 14, 2014

8:49am
I didn't see this happening. Yesterday's convection over the southeast actually pushed itself way ahead of the cold front, developing a large area of pre-frontal rain this morning. With this it changes everything.

First, take a look at the radar. You can clearly pick out the pre-frontal rain and just about where the front lies:


I think with the general motion of the pre-frontal rain, this may end up eliminiating a flash flood ...

Updated: 5:12 PM GMT on October 14, 2014

The Cutoff Low: Tomorrow's Risk

By: Buckey2745, 5:03 PM GMT on October 13, 2014

Now that we're about a day out I think we have a much better handle on what our weather will be like in Central Ohio tomorrow. Overall the severe threat is there, as is the flooding threat, but both have diminished significantly I believe in contrast to what some models suggested over the weekend.

This is still going to be a very potent storm, but more for the southeastern US than for us in the Ohio Valley. The latest NAM suggests as the low begins to mo...

The Cutoff Low: 1-2 Days Out

By: Buckey2745, 6:24 PM GMT on October 12, 2014

Models have come in to pretty good agreement on an active Monday and Tuesday around the eastern half of the country. The southeast is the first in line for an outbreak tomorrow afternoon in an area from western Tennessee down to Louisiana.

Then the low pressure deepens to 994mb and slows down. As it slows down, it appears a squall line will begin to develop Tuesday afternoon. Logic says that this general slowing of the system would negate some of the wind...

The Cutoff Low: 2-3 Days Out

By: Buckey2745, 3:38 PM GMT on October 11, 2014

It's been in the back of my mind for the past few days, but with this coming more in to the mid-range forecast, I thought this would be a good time to address the cutoff low next week that everyone keeps talking about.

As of now it could be an epic storm, or it could be sort of a dud for us. I really don't think there is any in between. Models are not in agreement on strength, timing, or effects for our region.

It's truly an unknown at this poi...

Updated: 11:24 PM GMT on October 11, 2014

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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Personal Weather Stations

Lehman Estates
Canal Winchester, OH
Elevation: 754 ft
Temperature: 68.1 °F
Dew Point: 57.6 °F
Humidity: 69%
Wind: 7.0 mph from the WSW
Wind Gust: 14.0 mph
Updated: 2:18 PM EDT on October 25, 2014

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