Cortez, CO

11:56 AM MDT on May 16, 2012 (GMT -0600)
Elev: 5833 ft
Lon: 108.7° W
Lat: 37.3° N
Source
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Active Advisory: Fire Weather Watch (US Severe Weather)
Tropical Weather: Tropical Storm Aletta (East Pacific) Invest 92 (East Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Wednesday, May 16, 2012.

Unsettled weather is expected to continue across the Eastern U.S. Wednesday. A weak trough of low pressure will remain in place, as a cold front over the Midwest moves east and south. The northern portion of this cold front is forecast to move offshore Thursday morning, while the southern portion becomes near stationary across the Southeast and lower Mississippi Valley. As a result, widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected across the Tennessee and Ohio Valley as well as the Eastern U.S. Wednesday and continue into Thursday morning. In particular, there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the Northeast. Some hail will be possible, but greater severe risk appears to be locally damaging winds. In addition, a few storms may produce locally gusty winds or small hail over the Southeast Coast in the afternoon.

Elsewhere, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over southeast Texas and Gulf Coast. Moreover, a few isolated rain showers and thunderstorms may pop up over the Intermountain West.

Temperature wise, another hot and dry day is in store for the Desert Southwest. Afternoon temperatures will reach 90s and low 100s. Over the Northern High Plains, temperatures are forecast to soar 15 to 20 degrees above average. Widespread upper 80s and low 90s are expected for the highs.
Weather Underground Forecast for Wednesday, May 16, 2012.

Unsettled weather is expected to continue across the Eastern U.S. Wednesday. A weak trough of low pressure will remain in place, as a cold front over the Midwest moves east and south. The northern portion of this cold front is forecast to move offshore Thursday morning, while the southern portion becomes near stationary across the Southeast and lower Mississippi Valley. As a result, widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected across the Tennessee and Ohio Valley as well as the Eastern U.S. Wednesday and continue into Thursday morning. In particular, there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the Northeast. Some hail will be possible, but greater severe risk appears to be locally damaging winds. In addition, a few storms may produce locally gusty winds or small hail over the Southeast Coast in the afternoon.

Elsewhere, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over southeast Texas and Gulf Coast. Moreover, a few isolated rain showers and thunderstorms may pop up over the Intermountain West.

Temperature wise, another hot and dry day is in store for the Desert Southwest. Afternoon temperatures will reach 90s and low 100s. Over the Northern High Plains, temperatures are forecast to soar 15 to 20 degrees above average. Widespread upper 80s and low 90s are expected for the highs.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network

Cortez Weather at a Glance

Updated 11:47 AM MDT
Weather Station - report
McElmo Canyon, Cortez
Elevation
5400 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
79.0 °F
Feels Like 78 °F
Wind(mph)
9.6
Sunrise / Set
6:04 AM
8:18 PM
Moon
Waning Crescent
Today
Thunderstorm 82 °F
T-storms
20% chance of precipitation
Tonight
Partly Cloudy 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tomorrow
Clear 82 | 45 °F
Clear
Friday
Clear 81 | 39 °F
Clear
Saturday
Clear 73 | 36 °F
Clear
Sunday
Clear 79 | 37 °F
Clear
Today is forecast to be nearly the same temperature as yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
29.92 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
14%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCEZ 161653Z AUTO 15015G25KT 10SM CLR 26/M05 A3017 RMK AO2 PK WND 15036/1626 SLP130 T02561050
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Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Heat Index
78 °F
Dew Point
24 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
9.6 mph from ESE
Wind Gust
18.6 mph
Health
UV
10 out of 16
Pollen
7.40 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Source: BestForecast
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
tstorms Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 82F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Overcast in the evening, then clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 20 mph.
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 82F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 45F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Friday
clear Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 81F. Windy. Winds from the SE at 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 39F. Breezy. Winds from the West at 5 to 25 mph.
Saturday
clear Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Saturday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the NE after midnight.
Sunday
clear Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ENE after midnight.
Monday
clear Partly cloudy. High of 84F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.
Monday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ENE after midnight.
Tuesday
clear Clear. High of 88F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
clear Clear. High of 84F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the West at 5 to 20 mph.
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 82F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 20 mph.
Friday
clear Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Friday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Saturday
clear Partly cloudy. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
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Forecast

View Calendar 10-Day Forecast for station KCEZ

Wednesday, 16
Thunderstorm
82 | 41 °F
T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Thursday, 17
Clear
82 | 45 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Friday, 18
Clear
81 | 39 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Saturday, 19
Clear
73 | 36 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Sunday, 20
Clear
79 | 37 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 21
Clear
84 | 43 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 22
Clear
88 | 43 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Wednesday, 23
Clear
84 | 43 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Thursday, 24
Clear
82 | 41 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Friday, 25
Clear
79 | 39 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
tstorms Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 82F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Overcast in the evening, then clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 27 77 | 25 75 | 23 54 | 39
Wind 7 mph ESE 16 mph South 17 mph WSW 4 mph ESE
Humidity 51% 13% 13% 57%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 14% 1% 100% 3%
Conditions Clear Clear Overcast Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:04 AM
8:18 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [1.95], Average RMSE [2.60]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [1.62], Average RMSE [2.47] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 82F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 45F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 27 77 | 23 82 | 16 57 | 28
Wind 5 mph East 8 mph WSW 13 mph WSW 10 mph SSW
Humidity 59% 12% 8% 33%
Chance of Precip. 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 2% 1% 8% 21%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:04 AM
8:19 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [2.17], Average RMSE [2.55]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [2.14], Average RMSE [2.06] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Friday
clear Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 81F. Windy. Winds from the SE at 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 39F. Breezy. Winds from the West at 5 to 25 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 45 | 28 77 | 23 75 | 19 52 | 28
Wind 7 mph SSE 18 mph SSW 22 mph SW 8 mph West
Humidity 52% 12% 12% 40%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 0%
Cloud Cover 1% 35% 16% 24%
Conditions Clear Partly Cloudy Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:03 AM
8:19 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [1.68], Average RMSE [2.90]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [1.95], Average RMSE [3.01] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Saturday
clear Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Saturday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the NE after midnight.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 39 | 28 70 | 23 72 | 21 50 | 28
Wind 5 mph NNW 12 mph WNW 11 mph WNW 9 mph NE
Humidity 60% 16% 15% 43%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 5% 0%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:02 AM
8:20 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [2.46], Average RMSE [2.08]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.96], Average RMSE [2.90] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Sunday
clear Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ENE after midnight.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 39 | 25 73 | 25 75 | 23 52 | 30
Wind 7 mph ENE 6 mph SSW 5 mph West 6 mph ENE
Humidity 57% 16% 13% 43%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 19% 0%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [2.23], Average RMSE [2.43]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.74], Average RMSE [3.39] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Monday
clear Partly cloudy. High of 84F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.
Monday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ENE after midnight.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 27 81 | 30 81 | 21 52 | 30
Wind 10 mph East 10 mph SSE 7 mph West 7 mph NE
Humidity 54% 15% 10% 42%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 28% 0%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [2.46], Average RMSE [2.22]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [3.00], Average RMSE [3.49] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Tuesday
clear Clear. High of 88F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 27 79 | 23 82 | 19 54 | 30
Wind 7 mph East 7 mph SSW 7 mph WSW 2 mph SW
Humidity 53% 13% 9% 40%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 14% 5%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.59], Average RMSE [2.19]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [3.09], Average RMSE [3.30] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
clear Clear. High of 84F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the West at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 25 79 | 23 79 | 21 54 | 21
Wind 3 mph SE 12 mph SW 16 mph WSW 5 mph West
Humidity 50% 13% 11% 27%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 5% 0%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [3.09], Average RMSE [2.56]
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Thursday
clear Clear. High of 82F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 19 72 | -12 75 | -44 52 | 21
Wind 2 mph WSW 11 mph West 15 mph West 4 mph West
Humidity 39% 2% 0% 30%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 1% 1% 1%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is poor. MaxT RMSE [4.24], Average RMSE [3.37]
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Friday
clear Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Friday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 21 70 | 37 75 | 23 50 | 18
Wind 2 mph SSW 10 mph WSW 14 mph West 3 mph WSW
Humidity 44% 29% 14% 27%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 1% 1% 1% 2%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
Source: BestForecast at 7:44 AM MDT on May 16, 2012
Descriptive Forecast
Saturday
clear Partly cloudy. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 39 | 18 70 | 36 75 | 23 50 | 25
Wind 2 mph SSE 8 mph WSW 12 mph WSW 3 mph WSW
Humidity 41% 27% 14% 38%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 0%
Cloud Cover 2% 10% 17% %
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:01 AM
8:21 PM
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
May 16, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCEZ) 75 °F 37 °F
Yesterday 84 °F 34 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 6
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
May. 16, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 6:04 AM MDT 8:18 PM MDT
Civil Twilight 5:35 AM MDT 8:47 PM MDT
Nautical Twilight 4:59 AM MDT 9:23 PM MDT
Astronomical Twilight 4:20 AM MDT 10:03 PM MDT
Moon 3:31 AM MDT 4:40 PM MDT
Length Of Visible Light 15h 12m
Length of Day
14h 13m
Tomorrow will be 1m 37s longer.
Waning Crescent, 15% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Crescent
May 20
New
May 28
First Quarter
Jun 4
Full
Jun 11
Last Quarter
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
82 °F
Lamar
82 °F
Delta
81 °F
Akron
81 °F
La Junta
81 °F
Denver
30 °F
Leadville
32 °F
Limon
33 °F
Wolf Creek Pass
35 °F
Kremmling
36 °F
Pagosa Springs
Record Extremes
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
Columbus Basin 23 in 10785 ft
Scotch Creek 0 in 9100 ft
Lone Cone 0 in 9600 ft
Stump Lakes 0 in 11200 ft
Mineral Creek 0 in 10040 ft
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Cortez 78 °F Clear 10:53 AM MDT
Blanding 66 °F Scattered Clouds 8:55 AM MDT
Farmington 80 °F Clear 11:53 AM MDT
View all Aviation Tools
Flight To ETA Status
GLA59F
Denver, CO 		KFMN 12:47PM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
View U.S. Airport Delays
Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCEZ)
Wind Speed: 15.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 112° (ESE)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KCEZ 161653Z AUTO 15015G25KT 10SM CLR 26/M05 A3017 RMK AO2 PK WND 15036/1626 SLP130 T02561050

View all Reports & Maps
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Dodgers vs. Padres 3:35 PM PDT on May 16, 2012 Clear, 70 °F
Mariners vs. Indians 7:05 PM EDT on May 16, 2012 Clear, 61 °F
Event Date Forecast
Las Palmas vs. Deportivo 8:00 PM CEST on May 16, 2012 Chance of Rain, High 77° F/ 25° C
Córdoba CF vs. Recreativo de Huelva 8:00 PM CEST on May 16, 2012 Overcast, High 82° F/ 28° C
Event Date Forecast
Sprint Showdown 7:30 PM EDT on May 19, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 72 °F
NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race 9:00 PM EDT on May 19, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 72 °F
Event Date Forecast
HP Byron Nelson Championship 8:30 AM CDT on May 17, 2012 Clear, 63 °F
HP Byron Nelson Championship 8:30 AM CDT on May 18, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 67 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Heat Index Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
McElmo Canyon, Cortez, CO 79.0 °F 78 °F 24 °F 14% ESE  at  9.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 5400 ft 11:47 AM MDT Normal  
RAWS MOCKINGBIRD CO, Yellow Jacket, CO 76 °F 75 °F 10 °F 8% SSE  at  6 mph 0.00 in / hr 6419 ft 10:44 AM MDT MADIS
RAWS CHAPIN CO, Mesa Verde, CO 71 °F 73 °F 21 °F 15% ESE  at  8 mph 0.00 in / hr 7125 ft 10:30 AM MDT MADIS
Cahone (2.5 Miles NNE), Cahone, CO 72.7 °F 74 °F 17 °F 12% SE  at  7.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 6940 ft 11:56 AM MDT Rapid Fire
RAWS MOREFIELD CO, Mesa Verde, CO 64 °F - 21 °F 19% WSW  at  16 mph 0.00 in / hr 7819 ft 10:40 AM MDT MADIS
RAWS SALTER CO, Cahone, CO 61 °F - 21 °F 21% South  at  14 mph 0.00 in / hr 8201 ft 10:24 AM MDT MADIS
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Fire Weather Watch
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 6:00 AM MDT on May 16, 2012

... Fire Weather Watch in effect from Friday morning through
Friday evening for gusty winds... low humidity... and dry fuels for
fire weather zones 203... 207... 290... 292 and 293...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for gusty winds... low humidity... and dry fuels...
which is in effect from Friday morning through Friday evening.

* Affected area... in Colorado... fire weather zone 203 Grand
Junction forecast area... fire weather zone 207 Durango
forecast area... fire weather zone 290 Paradox Valley forecast
area... fire weather zone 292 North Fork forecast area and fire
weather zone 293 Gunnison basin forecast area.

* Winds... southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

* Relative humidity... lowering to around 10 percent.

* Impacts... fire ignitions may be difficult to control Saturday
afternoon with high rates of spread possible. Isolated
thunderstorms late afternoon and early evening may start new
fires.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.



Cuoco

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...