Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay area
349 PM PST Wednesday Feb 10 2016
Synopsis...dry pleasant weather will continue through the rest
of the week. Large westerly swell will begin to impact the coast
Thursday raising the risk of sneaker waves at area beaches.
Discussion...as of 3:00 PM PST Wednesday...the current visible
satellite image is showing plenty of high clouds pushing into the
forecast area this afternoon as a storm system continues to slowly
move towards the Pacific northwest. The sea breeze has become
established and we can now expect generally light westerly winds
this afternoon into the evening hours.
The 1200z European model (ecmwf) and 1800z gfs40 have initialized well with the
current synoptic weather pattern and remain in good agreement
through at least the beginning of next week and have come into
better agreement for a storm system expected to arrive by the
middle of next week. Not many changes were made to the forecast
package. However...we did add low clouds to the coastal waters for
tonight into Thursday morning and once again for Thursday night
into Friday morning.
Aviation...as of 3:49 PM PST Wednesday...mainly high clouds
expected tonight. Hazy conditions expected Thursday morning
between 15z-18z. Light winds.
Vicinity of ksfo...VFR.
Sfo bridge approach...similar to ksfo.
Monterey Bay area terminals...VFR.
Climate...record highs for Wednesday...
City name Feb 10th high and year
Kentfield 77 in 1988
San Rafael 77 in 1988
Napa 76 in 2006
San Francisco 78 in 1988
sfo Airport 71 in 1988
Oakland museum 76 in 1988
Oakland Airport 68 in 2006
Richmond 73 in 2006
Livermore 79 in 1918
Mountain View 75 in 1988
San Jose 75 in 1988
Gilroy 77 in 2006
Monterey 75 in 2002
Santa Cruz 78 in 1988
Salinas 78 in 2002
Salinas Airport 76 in 2002
King City 77 in 2008
Marine...as of 1:26 PM PST Wednesday...light seas and winds this
evening. Increasing northwest winds will prevail through the
weekend except over the northern outer waters where southwest
winds will prevail tomorrow. A large long period northwest swell
will begin to move into the area on Thursday and persist into the
Public forecast: Larry
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